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Red81
58721.6
373724.5
776320.7
Blue54
265526.7
90016.3
576218.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60653040507080901008154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#22
24.51.6
19.320.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End4.2
blue by 2.2
2655
#19
26.70.5
27.527.0
Auto3.6
Teleop16.9
End6.1
Second
587
#5
21.61.6
18.720.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.8
red by 2.9
5762
#23
18.70.5
19.218.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.3
End4.6
Third
7763
#18
20.71.6
19.220.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End4.9
red by 4.4
900
#28
16.30.5
14.814.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned