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Red57
90016.3
493514.3
767122.3
Blue78
453429.0
322921.4
350623.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53754060801005778

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7671
#30
22.30.4
22.122.5
Auto3.2
Teleop15.8
End3.4
blue by 6.6
29.00.5
26.727.1
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End6.5
Second
900
#28
16.30.4
14.515.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.8
End3.7
blue by 6.7
3506
#12
23.00.5
23.323.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End5.0
Third
4935
#31
14.30.4
13.614.1
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End1.7
blue by 7.1
3229
#24
21.40.5
21.221.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed58%HAB Docking oddsEarned