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Red59
319626.8
453429.0
429114.2
Blue70
551126.7
58721.6
672916.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75674060801005970

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.3
29.229.0
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End6.5
red by 2.3
5511
#11
26.70.0
26.326.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End8.9
Second
26.80.3
27.026.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End8.9
red by 5.2
587
#5
21.60.0
21.121.2
Auto5.4
Teleop11.4
End4.8
Third
4291
#26
14.20.3
14.514.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End3.5
blue by 2.3
6729
#25
16.50.0
16.016.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.7
End2.8