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Red57
429012.8
776316.1
656513.8
Blue50
482912.0
726510.5
693213.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433810203050605750

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.3
15.515.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.4
red by 3.1
6932
#20
13.00.1
13.013.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Second
6565
#15
13.80.3
13.213.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End2.2
red by 1.7
4829
#29
12.00.1
12.012.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Third
4290
#19
12.80.4
12.112.5
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.6
red by 2.3
10.50.1
10.510.6
Auto5.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8