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Red53
319623.0
453422.2
585411.3
Blue54
350614.0
493513.1
554420.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59453040507080905354

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.2
22.922.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End7.2
red by 2.9
5544
#22
20.10.2
18.719.0
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Second
22.20.2
22.021.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End5.6
red by 8.2
14.00.2
12.712.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
5854
#23
11.30.2
11.211.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End2.8
blue by 1.7
13.10.3
11.611.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.6