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Red38
26409.6
576216.4
68887.8
Blue45
621412.7
319623.0
656513.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364002060801003845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5762
#11
16.40.6
12.712.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.0
blue by 6.6
23.00.8
12.112.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End7.2
Second
2640
#17
9.61.0
9.88.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End3.5
blue by 4.1
6565
#15
13.80.5
12.312.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
6888
#36
7.81.0
11.210.2
Auto2.8
Teleop2.9
End2.2
blue by 4.9
6214
#13
12.70.8
13.013.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsEarned