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Red52
479520.0
38228.4
319623.0
Blue24
482912.0
68997.2
57278.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392601020305060705224

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.01.3
16.217.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End7.2
red by 11.0
4829
#29
12.00.1
11.311.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
Second
20.00.8
16.317.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End8.5
red by 11.3
5727
#24
8.80.1
7.67.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Third
3822
#14
8.41.3
4.96.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 1.3
6899
#30
7.20.1
6.16.0
Auto2.3
Teleop2.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned13%HAB Docking oddsMissed