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Red26
368015.5
726510.5
672912.2
Blue60
554420.1
585411.3
656513.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36450102030405060702660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3680
#16
15.50.9
11.510.6
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.7
blue by 4.6
5544
#22
20.11.3
19.220.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.8
Second
6729
#33
12.20.9
11.610.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End4.4
blue by 1.6
6565
#15
13.80.8
12.313.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Third
10.50.9
11.210.3
Auto5.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8
blue by 0.8
5854
#23
11.31.3
10.712.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed