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Red36
656513.8
57278.8
429012.8
Blue26
153322.1
726510.5
38228.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34421020305060703626

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6565
#15
13.80.2
12.913.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End2.2
blue by 8.4
1533
#12
22.11.3
20.819.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.1
End6.4
Second
4290
#19
12.80.4
10.711.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.6
red by 2.3
10.51.3
11.19.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8
Third
5727
#24
8.80.4
9.09.4
Auto2.9
Teleop3.5
End2.4
red by 0.3
3822
#14
8.41.3
8.06.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsEarned