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Red33
429012.8
493513.1
38228.4
Blue38
68944.3
576216.4
479520.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364220305060703338

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.6
12.111.6
Auto4.6
Teleop4.8
End3.6
blue by 7.0
20.00.1
19.619.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End8.5
Second
4290
#19
12.80.6
12.712.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.6
blue by 3.6
5762
#11
16.40.1
16.116.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Third
3822
#14
8.40.5
9.28.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End2.3
red by 4.2
6894
#27
4.30.2
4.44.3
Auto0.7
Teleop2.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsMissed