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Red47
554420.1
56798.7
205922.2
Blue55
656513.8
12259.7
726510.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5336102030405060704755

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
22.222.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.3
End9.1
red by 8.4
6565
#15
13.80.3
13.513.2
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
5544
#22
20.10.3
19.018.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.6
End2.8
red by 9.6
10.50.3
10.810.5
Auto5.0
Teleop2.7
End2.8
Third
5679
#21DQ
8.70.3
9.39.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End1.0
blue by 1.0
1225
#28
9.70.3
10.09.7
Auto5.3
Teleop0.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed