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Red29
482912.0
672912.2
78155.0
Blue46
591910.4
776316.1
429012.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360102030405060702946

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6729
#33
12.20.6
13.212.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End4.4
blue by 3.9
16.10.0
10.810.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.4
Second
4829
#29
12.00.6
13.612.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.9
End-0.7
blue by 0.8
4290
#19
12.80.0
15.415.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
7815
#25DQ
5.00.6
8.07.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.6
End1.4
blue by 5.4
5919
#10
10.40.0
8.18.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed