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Red70
789020.1
453427.9
36619.1
Blue60
482919.5
650018.6
702911.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57522030407080907060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
26.827.1
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 8.4
4829
#24
19.50.2
19.319.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Second
20.10.4
19.019.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End5.7
red by 1.5
18.60.2
18.318.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
3661
#26
9.10.4
8.08.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.3
blue by 2.5
7029
#17
11.70.2
11.411.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3