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Red50
48167.6
551124.6
726512.1
Blue52
516016.3
429112.7
621415.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138203050605052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.8
21.922.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End10.1
red by 8.3
5160
#16
16.31.0
14.515.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
7265
#23
12.10.8
11.212.0
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.2
blue by 3.2
6214
#21
15.31.0
13.014.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Third
4816
#33
7.60.8
5.56.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End1.9
blue by 5.1
12.71.0
8.89.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed