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Red41
600412.2
663916.2
516016.3
Blue59
429112.7
264221.8
482919.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38440102030506070804159

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#16
16.30.1
15.515.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 5.4
2642
#13
21.81.2
19.520.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.3
Second
6639
#12
16.20.1
15.215.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End3.8
blue by 3.3
4829
#24
19.51.2
12.113.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End3.6
Third
6004
#20
12.20.1
5.75.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End5.0
blue by 0.4
12.71.2
9.811.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed4%HAB Docking oddsMissed