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Red31
482919.5
32153.7
744316.7
Blue47
551124.6
650018.6
429112.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35530102030406070803147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#24
19.50.3
13.312.9
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End3.6
blue by 5.1
24.60.2
22.922.7
Auto4.0
Teleop10.4
End10.1
Second
7443
#27
16.70.3
15.014.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End3.6
blue by 1.8
18.60.2
16.316.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End2.5
Third
3215
#35
3.70.3
4.54.2
Auto1.1
Teleop1.0
End1.5
blue by 9.0
12.70.2
11.010.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed57%HAB Docking oddsEarned