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Red23
767118.7
516016.3
48167.6
Blue64
453427.9
268221.1
333618.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43562030507080901002364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7671
#15
18.71.2
18.217.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
blue by 9.2
27.90.7
23.624.3
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Second
5160
#16
16.31.2
15.614.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End2.6
blue by 4.8
2682
#11
21.10.7
15.215.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End3.0
Third
4816
#33
7.61.2
7.15.9
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End1.9
blue by 10.5
18.10.7
14.615.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.1
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed