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Red49
453427.9
600412.2
72708.6
Blue60
516016.3
554422.8
672914.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060804960

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.7
24.425.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End6.0
red by 5.1
5544
#10
22.80.7
20.421.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End3.0
Second
6004
#20
12.20.7
8.49.1
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End5.0
blue by 4.1
5160
#16
16.30.7
14.815.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Third
7270
#25
8.60.7
6.37.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
blue by 5.8
6729
#18
14.40.7
12.012.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed10%HAB Docking oddsMissed