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Red39
77159.3
560716.2
482919.5
Blue45
37967.0
702911.7
268221.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4139203050603945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4829
#24
19.50.0
15.715.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End3.6
blue by 1.6
2682
#11
21.10.6
18.819.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End3.0
Second
16.20.0
15.615.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 4.5
7029
#17
11.70.6
10.711.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Third
7715
#34
9.30.0
7.77.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End2.2
red by 2.4
3796
#30
7.00.6
7.07.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed