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Red56
268221.1
789020.1
767512.3
Blue55
744316.7
382210.9
767118.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50482030406070805655

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2682
#11
21.10.6
19.419.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End3.0
red by 2.4
7671
#15
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Second
20.10.6
17.017.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End5.7
red by 3.4
7443
#27
16.70.0
16.516.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End3.6
Third
7675
#28
12.30.6
10.911.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.5
red by 1.4
3822
#22
10.90.0
10.410.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed