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Red45
560716.2
479522.8
37967.0
Blue18
72708.6
48167.6
767512.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42210103050604518

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.3
20.020.4
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End9.1
red by 10.5
7675
#28
12.30.1
8.98.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Second
16.20.3
12.412.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 7.6
7270
#25DQ
8.60.1
4.94.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.5
End2.1
Third
3796
#30
7.00.3
7.57.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.5
blue by 0.6
4816
#33
7.60.1
5.65.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned11%HAB Docking oddsMissed