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Red54
621415.3
560716.2
650018.6
Blue44
43515.1
516016.3
702911.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514320306070805444

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.60.4
16.817.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.9
End2.5
red by 2.3
5160
#16
16.30.2
15.315.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End2.6
Second
16.20.4
15.615.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 1.0
435
#14
15.10.2
14.114.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.2
End2.8
Third
6214
#21
15.30.4
16.116.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
red by 3.6
7029
#17
11.70.2
11.011.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed