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Red34
726512.1
36619.1
651210.9
Blue34
32153.7
268221.1
382210.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323710204050603434

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7265
#23
12.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End3.2
blue by 9.1
2682
#11
21.1
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End3.0
Second
6512
#31
10.9
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End2.9
Level
3822
#22
10.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.5
Third
3661
#26
9.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.0
End2.3
red by 5.5
3215
#35
3.7
Auto1.1
Teleop1.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed