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Red59
600412.2
429112.7
642610.9
Blue44
621415.3
767118.7
479522.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356210203040507080905944

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.70.6
12.212.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End3.0
blue by 10.1
22.81.2
23.222.0
Auto5.0
Teleop8.7
End9.1
Second
6004
#20
12.20.6
10.911.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.7
End5.0
blue by 6.5
7671
#15
18.71.2
19.318.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Third
6426
#19
10.90.6
10.210.8
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End3.7
blue by 4.4
6214
#21
15.31.2
16.515.3
Auto5.6
Teleop6.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsMissed