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Red36
744316.7
702911.7
560716.2
Blue58
767118.7
672914.4
767512.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384002060803658

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7443
#27
16.70.0
14.514.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End3.6
blue by 2.0
7671
#15
18.71.3
16.818.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End3.6
Second
16.20.0
12.712.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.9
End3.1
red by 1.8
6729
#18
14.41.3
12.213.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.0
End2.4
Third
7029
#17
11.70.0
9.09.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.5
End3.3
blue by 0.6
7675
#28
12.31.3
8.810.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed