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Red47
373715.7
205917.3
70297.9
Blue52
268213.6
322919.2
77639.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424620305060704752

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.1
17.017.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End7.8
blue by 1.9
19.20.1
19.719.7
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End3.1
Second
3737
#10
15.70.1
15.415.5
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 2.1
2682
#17
13.60.1
14.114.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Third
7029
#22
7.90.1
7.67.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End2.6
blue by 1.4
7763
#14
9.30.1
9.89.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3