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Red18
90013.1
59198.0
34597.6
Blue5
650210.2
74631.6
77392.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210204050185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#4
13.11.3
10.99.6
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End4.6
red by 2.9
6502
#23
10.22.8
16.513.7
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Second
5919
#28
8.01.8
8.36.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.4
red by 5.6
7739
#36
2.42.8
6.43.6
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.1
End2.5
Third
3459
#24
7.61.8
11.810.1
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End3.2
red by 6.0
7463
#25
1.62.8
7.34.5
Auto0.9
Teleop0.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed