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Red39
34597.6
576211.3
333612.6
Blue30
373715.7
656510.7
650210.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3039102050603930

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3336
#26
12.60.1
8.18.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.7
End2.8
blue by 3.1
3737
#10
15.70.8
13.612.8
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Second
11.30.1
10.710.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End3.2
red by 0.5
6565
#20
10.70.8
9.78.9
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End2.8
Third
3459
#24
7.60.1
10.110.2
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End3.2
blue by 2.7
6502
#23
10.20.8
13.712.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed