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Red18
59198.0
63328.9
373715.7
Blue31
516013.9
690814.0
576211.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28400102050601831

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#10
15.71.3
12.811.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 1.7
14.00.8
13.512.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End3.2
Second
6332
#33
8.91.3
8.16.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End3.3
blue by 5.0
5160
#18
13.90.8
13.712.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End3.6
Third
5919
#28
8.01.3
5.54.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.4
blue by 3.2
11.30.8
10.810.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed