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Red3
62402.9
77392.4
43511.4
Blue14
74631.6
373715.7
650014.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38411020305060314

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#32
11.43.7
14.110.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 4.3
3737
#10
15.72.8
14.611.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Second
6240
#35DQ
2.93.7
11.98.2
Auto0.8
Teleop0.1
End2.0
blue by 11.7
14.62.8
14.111.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.3
Third
7739
#36
2.41.5
7.96.4
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.1
End2.5
red by 0.8
7463
#25DQ
1.61.0
8.37.3
Auto0.9
Teleop0.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed