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Red50
43511.4
551121.6
650014.6
Blue58
456124.0
42918.8
34597.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41310102050605058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.61.2
17.118.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End8.9
blue by 2.4
24.01.7
20.021.7
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End4.6
Second
14.61.2
12.113.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End2.3
red by 5.9
4291
#19
8.81.7
3.24.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End1.5
Third
435
#32
11.41.2
9.410.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.6
red by 3.9
3459
#24
7.61.7
6.17.8
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed