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Red41
560712.4
516013.9
373715.7
Blue23
77157.0
650210.2
551810.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38280102050604123

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3737
#10
15.70.5
11.612.1
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 5.4
5518
#29
10.30.4
9.18.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Second
5160
#18
13.90.5
12.713.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.4
End3.6
red by 3.7
6502
#23
10.20.4
10.29.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End1.1
Third
5607
#11
12.40.5
11.812.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.1
red by 5.3
7715
#27
7.00.4
7.67.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed