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Red40
205917.3
43511.4
37967.5
Blue17
59198.0
551810.3
62402.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3319010304050604017

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.30.9
15.216.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.2
End7.8
red by 7.1
5518
#29
10.30.4
8.78.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Second
435
#32
11.40.9
10.611.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.9
End2.6
red by 3.4
5919
#28
8.00.4
6.25.8
Auto2.9
Teleop2.7
End2.4
Third
3796
#15
7.50.9
5.36.2
Auto2.6
Teleop2.8
End2.1
red by 4.5
6240
#35
2.90.4
3.53.1
Auto0.8
Teleop0.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed