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Red104
375030.6
517232.5
704814.0
Blue60
331319.3
821.1
565821.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7765406010010460

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.4
31.031.5
Auto5.9
Teleop18.8
End7.8
red by 11.3
8
#11
21.10.0
21.221.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
30.60.4
29.529.8
Auto4.4
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 9.5
5658
#13
21.10.1
21.221.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.2
End8.1
Third
7048
#42
14.00.4
12.613.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End3.0
blue by 5.3
3313
#20
19.30.0
19.419.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9