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Red43
592918.7
450619.2
43608.4
Blue36
821.1
481813.6
59987.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060804336

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.2
13.213.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End8.4
blue by 2.0
8
#11
21.10.5
17.016.5
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
18.70.2
10.710.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End4.3
red by 5.1
4818
#38
13.60.9
15.714.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
4360
#19
8.40.2
11.011.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.1
End3.1
red by 0.5
5998
#47
7.80.9
11.310.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned12%HAB Docking oddsMissed