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Red45
329319.8
375030.6
222717.7
Blue13
14110.4
207719.1
327811.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57452040804513

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.0
25.424.4
Auto4.4
Teleop17.2
End9.0
red by 11.5
2077
#21
19.13.3
13.610.3
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Second
19.81.3
14.212.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.4
End7.2
red by 7.9
3278
#26
11.93.3
12.18.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End3.2
Third
2227
#12
17.71.3
13.912.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 7.2
141
#43
10.43.3
17.013.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed