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Red43
223910.9
250815.6
254924.1
Blue68
592918.7
331319.3
757812.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494320304060704368

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.4
18.718.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.5
End6.3
red by 4.7
3313
#20
19.32.7
16.519.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Second
2508
#30
15.60.4
13.012.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End5.7
blue by 3.2
18.72.7
12.515.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End4.3
Third
2239
#40
10.90.4
14.814.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End2.0
blue by 1.8
7578
#39
12.62.7
11.514.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsEarned