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Red58
329210.6
453925.9
217719.0
Blue63
450619.2
250019.9
87713.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57502030407080905863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#15
25.90.3
28.328.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End7.5
red by 6.0
2500
#22
19.91.1
18.920.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Second
2177
#36
19.00.5
16.116.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.8
blue by 0.2
19.21.1
14.515.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.8
End8.4
Third
3292
#32
10.60.5
9.49.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End2.3
blue by 3.3
877
#37
13.91.1
13.614.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
78%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned