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Red52
400927.7
32779.8
617516.5
Blue61
821.1
223910.9
222717.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525130406070805261

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
26.026.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End7.8
red by 6.6
8
#11
21.10.6
20.721.3
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
6175
#18
16.50.3
14.815.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End4.3
blue by 1.2
2227
#12
17.70.9
15.716.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
3277
#50
9.80.2
8.78.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End3.7
blue by 1.1
2239
#40
10.90.9
11.912.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
66%HAB Docking oddsEarned31%HAB Docking oddsMissed