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Red49
821.1
217719.0
422910.8
Blue58
216911.4
757812.6
288322.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54470204060804958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#11
21.10.2
21.321.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.4
End3.3
blue by 1.8
2883
#17
22.90.7
22.122.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End6.4
Second
2177
#36
19.00.2
19.219.0
Auto5.9
Teleop9.3
End3.8
red by 6.3
7578
#39
12.60.8
11.912.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
4229
#33
10.80.2
11.010.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End3.4
blue by 0.6
2169
#31
11.40.6
10.811.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsEarned