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Red43
481813.6
43608.4
767715.8
Blue22
331319.3
14110.4
704814.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060804322

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7677
#16
15.80.6
15.215.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.9
blue by 3.5
3313
#20
19.32.8
22.219.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.8
End4.9
Second
4818
#38
13.60.6
13.013.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 0.4
7048
#42
14.02.8
15.112.3
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End3.0
Third
4360
#19
8.40.7
7.68.3
Auto4.1
Teleop1.1
End3.1
blue by 2.1
141
#43
10.43.1
13.510.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed