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Red33
767715.8
59987.8
250225.4
Blue27
757812.6
32779.8
250815.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413602060803327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.6
16.816.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.2
End8.1
red by 9.9
2508
#30
15.60.7
13.512.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End5.7
Second
7677
#16
15.86.4
15.89.4
Auto4.9
Teleop8.1
End2.9
red by 3.2
7578
#39
12.63.3
12.69.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
5998
#47
7.80.6
11.911.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.5
End1.9
blue by 2.0
3277
#50
9.80.6
10.29.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsMissed