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Red60
395819.6
365419.7
23030.5
Blue69
172112.8
632923.4
5825.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions766320401001206069

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
30.50.8
30.830.0
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End7.8
red by 5.1
58
#27
25.40.6
24.825.4
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End8.3
Second
3654
#62
19.70.8
21.020.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End5.0
blue by 3.7
6329
#42
23.40.6
22.523.2
Auto3.7
Teleop17.7
End2.0
Third
3958
#48
19.60.8
20.319.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.8
End3.6
red by 6.8
1721
#63
12.80.6
12.413.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsEarned11%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned