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Red60
741621.6
6925.8
176827.8
Blue73
365419.7
314622.7
237030.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77776065707580856073

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.9
26.425.5
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End5.6
blue by 2.7
2370
#11
30.50.0
29.129.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End8.1
Second
69
#19
25.80.9
25.324.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End8.0
red by 3.1
3146
#23
22.70.0
23.823.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Third
7416
#60
21.60.9
21.320.4
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End3.6
red by 1.9
3654
#62
19.70.0
19.819.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
10%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned97%HAB Docking oddsEarned