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Red59
490525.0
115329.3
147427.9
Blue98
127720.7
490926.6
23030.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807840506070901001101205998

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
#26
29.31.1
29.828.7
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End6.6
blue by 1.2
230
#4
30.50.9
32.233.1
Auto5.6
Teleop17.2
End7.8
Second
1474
#22
27.91.1
25.924.7
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End8.1
red by 1.3
4909
#25
26.60.9
25.526.4
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End6.2
Third
4905
#31
25.01.1
20.519.3
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End7.6
red by 4.3
1277
#37
20.70.9
16.617.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned92%HAB Docking oddsEarned