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Red96
176827.8
17327.2
568732.2
Blue75
16624.8
147427.9
431124.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9076601001209675

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.7
33.434.1
Auto3.7
Teleop22.2
End6.3
red by 4.3
1474
#22
27.90.2
25.725.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End8.1
Second
27.80.7
25.726.4
Auto3.5
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 3.0
166
#55
24.80.2
21.421.6
Auto5.3
Teleop16.4
End3.0
Third
173
#38
27.20.7
26.427.1
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End5.0
red by 2.6
4311
#56
24.60.2
25.325.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
54%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsMissed