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Red39
105826.3
476118.1
632923.4
Blue88
50926.7
7831.2
314622.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7486204060801001201403988

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1058
#14
26.32.0
20.818.8
Auto2.9
Teleop16.3
End7.0
blue by 4.9
78
#20
31.20.4
33.933.5
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End6.6
Second
6329
#42
23.42.0
28.726.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.7
End2.0
blue by 3.3
509
#12
26.70.4
23.222.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End6.1
Third
4761
#64
18.12.0
20.118.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End4.5
blue by 4.6
3146
#23
22.70.4
24.323.9
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
19%Rocket oddsEarned7%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
89%HAB Docking oddsMissed99%HAB Docking oddsMissed