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Red58
5825.4
206724.7
542215.5
Blue83
314622.7
287725.5
17628.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6381401001205883

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#27
25.40.1
22.622.5
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End8.3
blue by 3.4
176
#7
28.80.4
30.530.9
Auto2.9
Teleop18.5
End7.4
Second
2067
#28
24.70.1
23.323.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End8.5
blue by 0.8
2877
#34
25.50.4
22.723.1
Auto3.7
Teleop18.0
End3.8
Third
5422
#39
15.50.1
14.013.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End4.2
blue by 7.2
3146
#23
22.70.4
23.924.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed15%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsEarned