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Red78
206724.7
173517.2
581320.1
Blue102
151932.7
23727.2
741621.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62834010012078102

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#28
24.71.3
23.825.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End8.5
blue by 8.0
1519
#18
32.71.6
32.734.3
Auto5.2
Teleop20.4
End7.1
Second
5813
#59
20.11.3
19.721.0
Auto4.3
Teleop13.5
End2.2
blue by 7.0
237
#15
27.21.6
25.326.9
Auto3.0
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Third
1735
#46
17.21.3
14.916.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End3.1
blue by 4.4
7416
#60
21.61.6
20.221.8
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed44%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned80%HAB Docking oddsEarned