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Red74
490926.6
669122.0
490525.0
Blue77
346719.8
568732.2
786920.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73733040506080901001107477

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#25
26.60.3
25.926.2
Auto4.8
Teleop15.6
End6.2
blue by 5.6
32.20.6
31.632.1
Auto3.7
Teleop22.2
End6.3
Second
4905
#31
25.00.3
22.823.1
Auto2.9
Teleop14.4
End7.6
red by 4.3
7869
#43
20.60.6
17.718.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Third
6691
#54
22.00.3
20.821.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.0
End3.5
red by 2.2
3467
#51
19.80.6
19.520.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed48%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
86%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned